Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.034049 0.039596 0.045698 0.052897 0.061151 0.070308 0.081228
2025-09-28 0.025611 0.032811 0.041456 0.052565 0.066422 0.083097 0.104642
2025-10-05 0.021394 0.029796 0.040673 0.055697 0.075816 0.101718 0.137468
2025-10-12 0.017980 0.026974 0.039417 0.057733 0.083821 0.119422 0.171412
2025-10-19 0.014440 0.023205 0.036096 0.056206 0.086493 0.130044 0.196933
2025-10-26 0.012021 0.020568 0.033855 0.055692 0.090266 0.142345 0.225972
2025-11-02 0.009903 0.017974 0.031193 0.054002 0.091823 0.151282 0.250731
2025-11-09 0.008301 0.015925 0.029031 0.052691 0.093635 0.160573 0.276774
2025-11-16 0.007209 0.014559 0.027775 0.052645 0.097390 0.173199 0.309301
2025-11-23 0.006123 0.013002 0.025925 0.051242 0.098536 0.181448 0.335166
2025-11-30 0.005673 0.012594 0.026108 0.053532 0.106471 0.202077 0.384333
2025-12-07 0.005035 0.011692 0.025201 0.053603 0.110252 0.215617 0.422085
2025-12-14 0.004319 0.010513 0.023604 0.052159 0.111074 0.224041 0.451767
2025-12-21 0.003787 0.009646 0.022518 0.051599 0.113561 0.235839 0.489001
2025-12-28 0.003603 0.009550 0.023067 0.054554 0.123538 0.263100 0.558762
2026-01-04 0.003358 0.009263 0.023147 0.056487 0.131582 0.287284 0.624691
2026-01-11 0.002915 0.008397 0.021771 0.054960 0.131968 0.295892 0.659819
2026-01-18 0.002592 0.007781 0.020889 0.054441 0.134499 0.309167 0.705803
2026-01-25 0.002251 0.007048 0.019606 0.052779 0.134205 0.316328 0.739401
2026-02-01 0.001973 0.006439 0.018539 0.051493 0.134613 0.325015 0.777041
2026-02-08 0.001785 0.006053 0.017994 0.051445 0.137970 0.340569 0.831249
2026-02-15 0.001566 0.005530 0.016995 0.050071 0.137884 0.348210 0.868184
2026-02-22 0.001503 0.005486 0.017326 0.052312 0.147183 0.378628 0.960405